Fitch Ratings has raised the outlook on Bulgaria's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) from stable to positive. The current assessment stems from lower macroeconomic risks associated with the Covid-19 crisis, the continuing interest in joining the euro zone, as well as the support from EU funds.
In the coming years, Bulgaria is expected to be one of the main beneficiaries of EU financing, including 16.6 billion euros (27% of GDP in 2020) under the multi-annual financial framework (2021-2027) and 7.5 billion euros (12% of GDP for 2020) in the form of EU grants under the NGEU mechanism. According to Fitch Ratings, this would increase economic growth from projected 3% in 2021 to 4-5% in the period 2022-2025.
In the long run, however, Fitch also points out a number of unfavorable factors, including the demographic structure of the population.
Natural gas prices are expected to fall by about 14% from current levels, Bulgargaz CEO Veselin Sinabov told a public meeting of the Energy and Water Regulatory Commission (EWRC). This means that one megawatt hour will cost 31.91 euro, compared to 36.88..
The Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) has revised upwards its expectations for Bulgarian economic growth in 2025 but lowered its GDP growth forecast for 2026, it transpired from the Bank's regular quarterly Macroeconomic Forecast. In its March..
Bulgaria’s debt for 2024 amounts to BGN 48.846 billion (EUR 24 billion), or 24.1% of the country’s GDP, preliminary data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI) show. In 2023, the country's debt was BGN 42.383 billion (EUR 20.8 billion), or..
According to data from the Bulgarian National Bank, household bank loans in Bulgaria surpassed €25.5 billion mark , reaching €25.59 billion by the end of..
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