Moody’s credit ratings agency has affirmed the long-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on Bulgaria at ‘Baa1’ with a stable outlook, the Ministry of Finance announced.
According to the agency, the country can still meet its target by adopting the euro next year, but said that the country’s adoption of the euro was “likely to be delayed at least until 2025.”
While the rate of growth is expected to slow to 1.4% of GDP in 2023, Moody's expects that this will be among the more robust growth rates among European sovereigns this year, and that growth will pick up to 2.9% in 2024. According to the credit ratings agency inflation will be high but declining towards 6.0% by the end of 2023, from 14.3% at the end of 2022.
Moody’s expects that the headline deficit will remain broadly stable around 3% of GDP in 2023 and 2024.
The Bulgarian National Bank has lowered the base interest rate for the second consecutive month. As of August 1, it stands at 3.53%, down from 3.63% in July. Since the end of 2023, the base interest rate has been gradually falling. From February..
Moody's expects Bulgaria to join the Eurozone no later than the beginning of 2026. According to the rating agency, the growth of the Bulgarian economy in 2024 will be 2.9%. The ongoing domestic political crisis and the likelihood of new early elections..
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