Bulgaria can meet the convergence criterion for price stability, needed for entering the Eurozone, in January 2025 and continue to meet it throughout the rest of the year, the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) states in its macroeconomic outlook, posted to the website of the BNB.
In 2024, the BNB expects Bulgaria’s real GDP growth to be 2.3%, 0.1 percentage points up compared to the BNB’s previous forecast from November. The growth rate of the real GDP is expected to accelerate to 2.5% in 2025, which is a decrease of 0.2 percentage points. For 2026, the forecast for GDP growth is up to 3%.
The inflation in Bulgaria at the end of 2024 stands at 2.1%, the average annual inflation rate is 3.3%. In 2025 it is expected to increase to 3.5%.
Moody's Ratings has affirmed Bulgaria's long-term and short-term rating at Baa1 with a stable outlook. The affirmation of Bulgaria's Baa1 rating reflects the rating agency's expectations that Bulgaria's debt and creditworthiness indicators will remain..
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