The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, EBRD, is forecasting that the economy of Bulgaria will grow by 4.2% in 2021, compensating for the 4.2% drop in 2020. This means the EBRD has cut down its June forecast for a 4.5% GDP growth by December.
In its November report Regional Economic Prospects, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development projects a GDP growth in Bulgaria of 4.4% in 2022. The projection is 0.4% higher compared to June, when the expected growth rate was 4%.
“The risks are tilted to the downside, including the low vaccination rate and ongoing political crisis," the EBRD notes.
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The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts an acceleration in Bulgaria's economic growth from 1.8% in 2023 to 2.5% in 2024 and to 2.9% in 2025 as public investment increases along with EU funds. OECD expects inflation..
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