The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, EBRD, is forecasting that the economy of Bulgaria will grow by 4.2% in 2021, compensating for the 4.2% drop in 2020. This means the EBRD has cut down its June forecast for a 4.5% GDP growth by December.
In its November report Regional Economic Prospects, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development projects a GDP growth in Bulgaria of 4.4% in 2022. The projection is 0.4% higher compared to June, when the expected growth rate was 4%.
“The risks are tilted to the downside, including the low vaccination rate and ongoing political crisis," the EBRD notes.
Bulgaria has the opportunity to reap the full benefits of eurozone membership , but this will require stronger fiscal discipline, effective management of transition risks, and accelerated structural reforms , the International Monetary Fund (IMF)..
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