The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has lowered its forecast for Bulgaria’s GDP growth, because of the war in Ukraine. EBRD expects that Bulgaria’s gross domestic product will rise 2.8% in 2022, a downward revision of the 4.4% growth forecast made in November last year.
In 2023, EBRD projects the country’s GDP to increase with 3.6%. In 2021, Bulgaria’s economy grew 4.2%.
EBRD expects a slowdown in foreign direct investments in countries like Bulgaria and Romania, because of their proximity to Ukraine and particularly in the context of a militarization of the Black Sea, the report further reads.
Bulgaria has the opportunity to reap the full benefits of eurozone membership , but this will require stronger fiscal discipline, effective management of transition risks, and accelerated structural reforms , the International Monetary Fund (IMF)..
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